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Slavia Mozyr vs BATE Borisov Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 11:00

Slavia Mozyr

PPG 0.50 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

BATE Borisov

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-033.4%0-115.8%0-23.8%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.8%1-19.9%1-22.3%1-30.4%1-4+0.0%2 2-06.5%2-13.1%2-20.7%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.3%3-10.6%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.0% 50.0% 2.00 -30.0%

Draw 41.0% 34.5% 2.90 +18.9%

Away win 24.0% 27.0% 3.70 -6.7%

Over 2.5 23.8% 49.0% 2.04 -30.9%

Over 3.5 2.6% 30.3% 3.30 -54.9%

BTTS 29.3% 55.6% 1.80 -28.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -16.9%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob29.3%

H 35% / xG 0.6-0.5 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 33.4%

#2 1–0 20.8%

#3 0–1 15.8%

#4 1–1✓ 9.9%

#5 2–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slavia Mozyr0.6

BATE Borisov0.5

COMBINED 1.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 23.8% · O3.5 PROB 2.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SLAVIA MOZYR · PPG 0.50

BATE BORISOV · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.50), Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Slavia Mozyr (H) 35.0%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -30.0%

Draw 41.0%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +18.9%

BATE Borisov (A) 24.0%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -6.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slavia Mozyr face BATE Borisov in Belarus - Premier League on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slavia Mozyr a 35% chance, the draw 41% and BATE Borisov 24%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for Slavia Mozyr and 0.5 for BATE Borisov (1.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slavia Mozyr are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.50 for BATE Borisov. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +18.9%. This match finished 1-1.

Slavia Mozyr vs BATE Borisov Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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