Today / Cleethorpes vs Hednesford

Cleethorpes vs Hednesford Prediction

Regular Season - 41 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Cleethorpes logo
Cleethorpes
PPG 1.58 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Hednesford logo
Hednesford
PPG 1.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.58), Away GOOD (1.53)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-19.7%0-25.6%0-32.2%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.0%1-112.8%1-27.4%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.3%2-18.5%2-24.9%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.2%3-13.7%3-22.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.6%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 40.3%
Draw 27.0%
Away win 32.7%
Over 2.5 45.2%
Over 3.5 23.9%
BTTS 50.4%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 16%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob50.4%

H 40% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 45% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%
#2 1–0 11.0%
#3 0–1 9.7%
#4 2–1 8.5%
#5 0–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cleethorpes1.3
Hednesford1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.2% · O3.5 PROB 23.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CLEETHORPES · PPG 1.58

HEDNESFORD · PPG 1.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.58), Away GOOD (1.53)

Win probability 1X2

Cleethorpes (H) 40.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Hednesford (A) 32.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cleethorpes face Hednesford on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cleethorpes a 40% chance, the draw 27% and Hednesford 33%, so Cleethorpes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Cleethorpes and 1.2 for Hednesford (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cleethorpes are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.53 for Hednesford. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

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