Today / Australia - Queensland Premier League / St George W. vs Ipswich

St George W. vs Ipswich Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 08:00

St George W. logo
St George W.
PPG 0.00 · HOME
0 – 4
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY
Ipswich logo
Ipswich
PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-113.6%0-214.4%0-310.1%0-4+8.7%1 1-04.0%1-18.6%1-29.1%1-36.4%1-4+5.5%2 2-01.3%2-12.7%2-22.9%2-32.0%2-4+1.7%3 3-00.3%3-10.6%3-20.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 13.7%
Draw 22.0%
Away win 64.3%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Over 3.5 29.6%
BTTS 48.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5 70%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 36%
ROI -0.9%
Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 43%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-4
xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob48.6%

A 64% / xG 0.6-2.1 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 14.4%
#2 0–1 13.6%
#3 0–3 10.1%
#4 1–1 8.6%
#5 1–2 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St George W.0.6
Ipswich2.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ST GEORGE W. · PPG 0.00

IPSWICH · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

St George W. (H) 13.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Ipswich (A) 64.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

St George W. face Ipswich in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St George W. a 14% chance, the draw 22% and Ipswich 64%, so Ipswich are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for St George W. and 2.1 for Ipswich (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St George W. are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 2.25 for Ipswich. This match finished 0-4.

PredictVantage

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