Ashton Utd PPG 1.47
Guiseley PPG 0.89Ashton Utd face Guiseley in England - Non League Premier - Northern on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ashton Utd a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Guiseley 22%, so Ashton Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Ashton Utd and 0.9 for Guiseley (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ashton Utd are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 0.89 for Guiseley. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +27.2%. This match finished 1-1.
Based on 18 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.47) > Away POOR (0.89)