Today / St Albans vs Canvey Island

St Albans vs Canvey Island Prediction

Regular Season - 41 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

St Albans

PPG 1.55 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Canvey Island

PPG 0.35 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.55), Away POOR (0.35) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-13.2%0-21.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.3%1-17.8%1-23.2%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.3%2-19.4%2-23.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.1%3-17.6%3-23.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-09.8%4+-18.2%4+-23.4%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.4% — — —

Draw 16.6% — — —

Away win 11.0% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 40.9% — — —

BTTS 51.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.5%

H 72% / xG 2.4-0.8 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.3%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–0 9.3%

#4 3–0 9.1%

#5 1–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St Albans2.4

Canvey Island0.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ST ALBANS · PPG 1.55

CANVEY ISLAND · PPG 0.35

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.55), Away POOR (0.35) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

St Albans (H) 72.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Canvey Island (A) 11.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

St Albans face Canvey Island on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St Albans a 72% chance, the draw 17% and Canvey Island 11%, so St Albans are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for St Albans and 0.8 for Canvey Island (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St Albans are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 0.35 for Canvey Island. This match finished 4-1.

St Albans vs Canvey Island Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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