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Puerto Cabello vs Anzoátegui FC Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Clausura · Matchday 6 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 23:30

Puerto Cabello

PPG 2.09 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWDW

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Anzoátegui FC

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLDL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 55.8% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-14.9%0-22.0%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-012.0%1-19.8%1-24.0%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-012.0%2-19.8%2-24.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.0%3-16.5%3-22.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-15.1%4+-22.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.8% 69.4% 1.44 -18.2%

Draw 22.0% 24.4% 4.10 -5.9%

Away win 21.2% 15.6% 6.40 +21.4%

Over 2.5 53.8% 55.6% 1.80 -3.2%

Over 3.5 31.7% 32.3% 3.10 -1.7%

BTTS 52.9% 51.3% 1.95 +3.1%

Home O1.5 55.8% 63.7% 1.57 -12.4%

Away O1.5 23.5% 22.2% 4.50 +3.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 66 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 39%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -5.0%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.9%

H 57% / xG 2.0-0.8 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.0%

#2 1–1 9.8%

#3 1–0 12.0%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 3–0✓ 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puerto Cabello2.0

Anzoátegui FC0.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PUERTO CABELLO · PPG 2.09

ANZOÁTEGUI FC · PPG 1.11

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.18 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Puerto Cabello (H) 56.8%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -18.2%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -5.9%

Anzoátegui FC (A) 21.2%

ODDS 6.40 · IMPLIED 15.6% EV +21.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Puerto Cabello face Anzoátegui FC in Venezuela - Primera División on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puerto Cabello a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Anzoátegui FC 21%, so Puerto Cabello are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Puerto Cabello and 0.8 for Anzoátegui FC (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puerto Cabello are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 1.11 for Anzoátegui FC. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +50.2%. This match finished 3-0.

Puerto Cabello vs Anzoátegui FC Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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