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Deportivo Tachira FC vs Rayo Zuliano Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Clausura · Matchday 8 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 21:30

Deportivo Tachira FC

PPG 2.08 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rayo Zuliano

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home 76% chance

Model probability 67.9% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-12.9%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.5%1-17.2%1-22.8%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.9%2-19.1%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.0%3-17.6%3-22.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-011.4%4+-18.8%4+-23.3%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.9% 80.0% 1.25 -15.1%

Draw 16.3% 20.0% 5.00 -11.1%

Away win 15.8% 11.1% 9.00 +25.3%

Over 2.5 65.0% 65.4% 1.53 -0.5%

Over 3.5 44.9% 44.4% 2.25 +1.0%

BTTS 54.6% 52.4% 1.91 +4.3%

Home O1.5 66.3% 75.2% 1.33 -11.8%

Away O1.5 21.1% 18.2% 5.50 +9.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 73 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -5.0%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob54.6%

H 68% / xG 2.5-0.8 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.9%

#2 3–0 10.0%

#3 2–1 9.1%

#4 1–1 7.2%

#5 1–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Tachira FC2.5

Rayo Zuliano0.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO TACHIRA FC · PPG 2.08

RAYO ZULIANO · PPG 0.70

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

Chance this pick lands

76%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.75 for Home, form 2.08 vs 0.70 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Tachira FC (H) 67.9%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -15.1%

Draw 16.3%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -11.1%

Rayo Zuliano (A) 15.8%

ODDS 9.00 · IMPLIED 11.1% EV +25.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Tachira FC face Rayo Zuliano in Venezuela - Primera División on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Tachira FC a 68% chance, the draw 16% and Rayo Zuliano 16%, so Deportivo Tachira FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Deportivo Tachira FC and 0.8 for Rayo Zuliano (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Tachira FC are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 0.70 for Rayo Zuliano. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +14.5%.

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Rayo Zuliano Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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