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Ecuador - Liga Pro
Regular Season - 15
Estadio 9 de Mayo· Machala
Saturday, May 23, 2026
21:30
Orense
PPG 1.71
1-2
HIT CS5
U. Catolica
PPG 1.00
Away· -0.8%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
35.2%
Odds: 2.46
EV: -13.4%
Draw
28.6%
Odds: 3.35
EV: -2.5%
Away
36.2%
Odds: 2.74
EV: -0.8%
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.2%
Odds: 2.00
-7.6%
Over 3.5
17.6%
Odds: 3.55
-22.5%
BTTS
49.2%
Odds: 1.73
-14.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
1-2
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Orense
1.03
U. Catolica
1.15
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 44 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
43%
O2.5/Under
48%
BTTS/No
52%
Score Hit
50%
ROI
1.8%
Bet Hit
53%
(17 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)