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Ecuador - Liga Pro logo Ecuador flag Ecuador - Liga Pro Regular Season - 15 Estadio 9 de Mayo· Machala Saturday, May 23, 2026 21:30
Orense logo Orense PPG 1.71
1-2 HIT CS5
U. Catolica logo U. Catolica PPG 1.00
Away· -0.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.2%
Odds: 2.46 EV: -13.4%
Draw 28.6%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -2.5%
Away 36.2%
Odds: 2.74 EV: -0.8%
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.00 -7.6%
Over 3.5 17.6% Odds: 3.55 -22.5%
BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.73 -14.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Orense
1.03
U. Catolica
1.15

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 52%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 1.8%
Bet Hit 53% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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