Today / Brusque vs Anapolis

Brusque vs Anapolis Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Brusque

PPG 3.00 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Anapolis

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-13.8%0-21.1%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-013.8%1-18.1%1-22.4%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.9%2-18.8%2-22.6%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.8%3-16.3%3-21.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-09.6%4+-15.6%4+-21.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.7% — — —

Draw 23.4% — — —

Away win 12.0% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 29.6% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.6%

H 65% / xG 2.2-0.6 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.9%

#2 1–0 13.8%

#3 3–0 10.8%

#4 1–1 8.1%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brusque2.2

Anapolis0.6

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BRUSQUE · PPG 3.00

ANAPOLIS · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Brusque (H) 64.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Anapolis (A) 12.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brusque face Anapolis on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brusque a 65% chance, the draw 23% and Anapolis 12%, so Brusque are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Brusque and 0.6 for Anapolis (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brusque are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Anapolis. This match finished 1-3.

Brusque vs Anapolis Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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