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Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 16 The Village Green Saturday, May 23, 2026 04:15
UNSW logo UNSW PPG 1.86
2-0 MISS
Sydney Utd logo Sydney Utd PPG 2.50
Home· +11.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.3%
Odds: 4.20 EV: +11.3%
Draw 26.4%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -1.4%
Away 45.3%
Odds: 1.70 EV: -23.0%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.7% Odds: 1.62 -14.6%
Over 3.5 31.7% Odds: 2.50 -20.8%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.57 -14.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

UNSW
1.16
Sydney Utd
1.68

Model Suggestion

BTTS -14.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+11.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home GOOD (1.86)

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