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Australia - South Australia NPL logo Australia flag Australia - South Australia NPL Regular Season - 11 Adelaide City Park Saturday, May 23, 2026 05:00
Adelaide City logo Adelaide City PPG 2.50
2-2 MISS
FK Beograd logo FK Beograd PPG 1.40
Home· +1.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.9%
Odds: 2.00 EV: +1.8%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -5.8%
Away 24.0%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -18.2%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.57 -17.4%
Over 3.5 31.0% Odds: 2.25 -30.3%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.50 -18.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Adelaide City
1.70
FK Beograd
1.11

Model Suggestion

BTTS -18.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=50.9%

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