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Australia - Victoria NPL 2 logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Regular Season - 14 Saturday, May 23, 2026 05:00
North Sunshine logo North Sunshine PPG 1.20
0-1 MISS
Langwarrin logo Langwarrin PPG 0.71
Over3.5· +4.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.7%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -16.3%
Draw 22.6%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -5.8%
Away 25.7%
Odds: 3.90 EV: +0.1%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 67.1% Odds: 1.30 -12.8%
Over 3.5 61.3% Odds: 1.70 +4.2%
BTTS 64.8% Odds: 1.30 -15.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-2
4th 3-1
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

North Sunshine
2.40
Langwarrin
1.84

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -12.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-12.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 61%
Score Hit 43%
ROI -40.0%
Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.71)

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