Today / Potters Bar vs Chatham Town

Potters Bar vs Chatham Town Prediction

Regular Season - 41 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Potters Bar logo
Potters Bar
PPG 0.95 · HOME
0 – 6
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY
Chatham Town logo
Chatham Town
PPG 1.90 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.90) vs Home POOR (0.95)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-18.6%0-212.3%0-311.7%0-4+16.9%1 1-01.9%1-15.5%1-27.9%1-37.5%1-4+10.8%2 2-00.6%2-11.8%2-22.5%2-32.4%2-4+3.5%3 3-00.1%3-10.4%3-20.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 5.7%
Draw 11.7%
Away win 82.6%
Over 2.5 67.9%
Over 3.5 46.3%
BTTS 44.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 71%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-6
xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob44.6%

A 83% / xG 0.6-2.9 / O2.5 68% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 12.3%
#2 0–3 11.7%
#3 0–1 8.6%
#4 0–4 8.4%
#5 1–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Potters Bar0.6
Chatham Town2.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.9% · O3.5 PROB 46.3%

Form & verdict PPG

POTTERS BAR · PPG 0.95

CHATHAM TOWN · PPG 1.90

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.90) vs Home POOR (0.95)

Win probability 1X2

Potters Bar (H) 5.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 11.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Chatham Town (A) 82.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Potters Bar face Chatham Town on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Potters Bar a 6% chance, the draw 12% and Chatham Town 83%, so Chatham Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Potters Bar and 2.9 for Chatham Town (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Potters Bar are averaging 0.95 points per game versus 1.90 for Chatham Town. This match finished 0-6.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org