Today / Galway Utd W vs Athlone W

Galway Utd W vs Athlone W Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Galway Utd W

PPG 3.00 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Athlone W

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (3.00) > Away EXCELLENT (2.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-19.6%0-25.6%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.1%1-112.8%1-27.4%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.4%2-18.5%2-24.9%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.3%3-13.8%3-22.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.7%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.7% — — —

Draw 28.4% — — —

Away win 28.9% — — —

Over 2.5 47.6% — — —

Over 3.5 23.9% — — —

BTTS 52.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.0%

H 43% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.3%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 2–1 8.5%

#5 0–1 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Galway Utd W1.3

Athlone W1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GALWAY UTD W · PPG 3.00

ATHLONE W · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (3.00) > Away EXCELLENT (2.33)

Win probability 1X2

Galway Utd W (H) 42.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Athlone W (A) 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Galway Utd W face Athlone W on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Galway Utd W a 43% chance, the draw 28% and Athlone W 29%, so Galway Utd W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Galway Utd W and 1.2 for Athlone W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Galway Utd W are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.33 for Athlone W. This match finished 0-3.

Galway Utd W vs Athlone W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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