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Talleres R. E. vs S. Italiano Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 17 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 18:30

Talleres R. E.

PPG 1.86 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

S. Italiano

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-031.1%0-115.6%0-23.9%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.7%1-110.4%1-22.6%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-06.9%2-13.5%2-20.9%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.5%3-10.8%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.0% 46.5% 2.15 -24.8%

Draw 41.0% 35.7% 2.80 +14.8%

Away win 24.0% 27.4% 3.65 -7.4%

Over 2.5 23.8% 33.9% 2.95 -17.9%

Over 3.5 3.1% 15.4% 6.50 -47.9%

BTTS 29.3% 43.5% 2.30 -19.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob29.3%

H 35% / xG 0.7-0.5 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 31.1%

#2 1–0 20.7%

#3 0–1✓ 15.6%

#4 1–1 10.4%

#5 2–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Talleres R. E.0.7

S. Italiano0.5

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 23.8% · O3.5 PROB 3.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TALLERES R. E. · PPG 1.86

S. ITALIANO · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Talleres R. E. (H) 35.0%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -24.8%

Draw 41.0%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +14.8%

S. Italiano (A) 24.0%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -7.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Talleres R. E. face S. Italiano in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Talleres R. E. a 35% chance, the draw 41% and S. Italiano 24%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Talleres R. E. and 0.5 for S. Italiano (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Talleres R. E. are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.57 for S. Italiano. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +14.8%. This match finished 0-1.

Talleres R. E. vs S. Italiano Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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