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Flandria vs Comunicaciones Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 17 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 18:30

Flandria logo
Flandria
PPG 1.43 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
Comunicaciones logo
Comunicaciones
PPG 0.86 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.1%0-115.8%0-25.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.0%1-112.7%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-06.9%2-15.1%2-21.9%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.8%3-11.4%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 35.2% 38.2% 2.62 -7.8%
Draw 39.2% 36.4% 2.75 +7.8%
Away win 25.6% 35.7% 2.80 -17.0%
Over 2.5 35.0% 33.9% 2.95 +3.3%
Over 3.5 7.3% 16.7% 6.00 -33.7%
BTTS 46.2% 44.4% 2.25 +4.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5 69%
BTTS 66%
Score Hit 63%
ROI 21.9%
Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-2
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.2%

D 39% / xG 0.8-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.1%
#2 1–0 17.0%
#3 1–1 12.7%
#4 0–1 15.8%
#5 2–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flandria0.8
Comunicaciones0.7

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 7.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FLANDRIA · PPG 1.43

COMUNICACIONES · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

Flandria (H) 35.2%
ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -7.8%
Draw 39.2%
ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +7.8%
Comunicaciones (A) 25.6%
ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -17.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Flandria face Comunicaciones in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flandria a 35% chance, the draw 39% and Comunicaciones 26%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for Flandria and 0.7 for Comunicaciones (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flandria are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.86 for Comunicaciones. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +7.8%. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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