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Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Regular Season - 17 Barranca Quilmena stadium· Quilmes Saturday, May 23, 2026 18:30
A. Quilmes logo A. Quilmes PPG 0.86
1-0 HIT CS2
Defensores U. logo Defensores U. PPG 0.43
Draw· +15.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.6%
Odds: 2.05 EV: -29.1%
Draw 40.5%
Odds: 2.85 EV: +15.4%
Away 24.8%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -4.2%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 33.1% Odds: 2.95 -2.4%
Over 3.5 6.9% Odds: 5.50 -37.2%
BTTS 46.2% Odds: 2.35 +8.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

A. Quilmes
0.81
Defensores U.
0.72

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 85 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 65%
ROI 16.1%
Bet Hit 52% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.86) > Away POOR (0.43)

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