Today / Modern Sport vs Ghazl El M.
Modern Sport vs Ghazl El M. Prediction
Saturday, May 23, 2026
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
D 41% / xG 0.7-0.7 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 42%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 5.2%
Form & verdict
MODERN SPORT · PPG 1.07
GHAZL EL M. · PPG 0.87
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away POOR (0.87)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Modern Sport face Ghazl El M. on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Modern Sport a 33% chance, the draw 41% and Ghazl El M. 26%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Modern Sport and 0.7 for Ghazl El M. (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Modern Sport are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 0.87 for Ghazl El M.. This match finished 0-0.