Today / K. Ismailia vs A. Contractors

K. Ismailia vs A. Contractors Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

K. Ismailia

PPG 0.33 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

A. Contractors

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.1%0-116.7%0-28.1%0-32.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.5%1-113.2%1-26.4%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.3%2-15.2%2-22.5%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.4%3-11.4%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.7% — — —

Draw 34.1% — — —

Away win 37.2% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 10.3% — — —

BTTS 46.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.2%

D 34% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.1%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–1 16.7%

#4 1–0 13.5%

#5 0–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

K. Ismailia0.8

A. Contractors1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.3%

Form & verdict PPG

K. ISMAILIA · PPG 0.33

A. CONTRACTORS · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.14) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

K. Ismailia (H) 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

A. Contractors (A) 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

K. Ismailia face A. Contractors on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives K. Ismailia a 29% chance, the draw 34% and A. Contractors 37%, so A. Contractors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for K. Ismailia and 1.0 for A. Contractors (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, K. Ismailia are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.14 for A. Contractors. This match finished 2-2.

K. Ismailia vs A. Contractors Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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