Today / Cray Valley PM vs Folkestone

Cray Valley PM vs Folkestone Prediction

Regular Season - 41 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Cray Valley PM

PPG 0.65 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Folkestone

PPG 2.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.30) vs Home POOR (0.65)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-16.0%0-29.7%0-310.5%0-4+19.2%1 1-01.4%1-14.5%1-27.3%1-37.9%1-4+14.4%2 2-00.5%2-11.7%2-22.7%2-33.0%2-4+5.4%3 3-00.1%3-10.4%3-20.7%3-30.7%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 5.3% — — —

Draw 9.9% — — —

Away win 84.8% — — —

Over 2.5 76.1% — — —

Over 3.5 56.5% — — —

BTTS 50.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 76%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)3.2 BTTS prob50.8%

A 85% / xG 0.8-3.2 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 10.5%

#2 0–2 9.7%

#3 0–4 8.5%

#4 1–3 7.9%

#5 1–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cray Valley PM0.8

Folkestone3.2

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.1% · O3.5 PROB 56.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CRAY VALLEY PM · PPG 0.65

FOLKESTONE · PPG 2.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.30) vs Home POOR (0.65)

Win probability 1X2

Cray Valley PM (H) 5.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 9.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Folkestone (A) 84.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cray Valley PM face Folkestone on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cray Valley PM a 5% chance, the draw 10% and Folkestone 85%, so Folkestone are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Cray Valley PM and 3.2 for Folkestone (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cray Valley PM are averaging 0.65 points per game versus 2.30 for Folkestone. This match finished 1-1.

Cray Valley PM vs Folkestone Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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