Today / Marbella vs Teruel

Marbella vs Teruel Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Marbella

PPG 1.24 · HOME

UPCOMING

Teruel

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.4%0-116.4%0-26.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.6%1-112.7%1-24.9%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-06.4%2-14.9%2-21.9%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.7%3-11.3%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.7% — — —

Draw 40.1% — — —

Away win 25.2% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 7.1% — — —

BTTS 46.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.2%

D 40% / xG 0.8-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.4%

#2 1–0 16.6%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 0–1 16.4%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Marbella0.8

Teruel0.8

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 7.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MARBELLA · PPG 1.24

TERUEL · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.24), Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

Marbella (H) 34.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 40.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Teruel (A) 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Marbella face Teruel on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Marbella a 35% chance, the draw 40% and Teruel 25%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for Marbella and 0.8 for Teruel (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Marbella are averaging 1.24 points per game versus 1.06 for Teruel.

Marbella vs Teruel Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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