Today / Sligo Rovers W vs Cork City W

Sligo Rovers W vs Cork City W Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Sligo Rovers W
PPG 1.33 · HOME
3 – 3
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
Cork City W
PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.33), Away POOR (0.33) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-12.6%0-21.0%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.0%1-16.8%1-22.6%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.7%2-18.9%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.3%3-17.7%3-22.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-012.6%4+-19.5%4+-23.6%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 66.5%
Draw 22.2%
Away win 11.4%
Over 2.5 62.7%
Over 3.5 43.6%
BTTS 51.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-3
xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.6%

H 66% / xG 2.6-0.8 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.7%
#2 3–0 10.3%
#3 2–1 8.9%
#4 1–0 9.0%
#5 1–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sligo Rovers W2.6
Cork City W0.8

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.7% · O3.5 PROB 43.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SLIGO ROVERS W · PPG 1.33

CORK CITY W · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.33), Away POOR (0.33) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Sligo Rovers W (H) 66.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Cork City W (A) 11.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sligo Rovers W face Cork City W on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sligo Rovers W a 67% chance, the draw 22% and Cork City W 11%, so Sligo Rovers W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Sligo Rovers W and 0.8 for Cork City W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sligo Rovers W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.33 for Cork City W. This match finished 3-3.

PredictVantage

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