Today / Peamount W vs Shelbourne W

Peamount W vs Shelbourne W Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Peamount W
PPG 1.67 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Shelbourne W
PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-17.5%0-26.2%0-33.4%0-4+2.0%1 1-06.5%1-110.8%1-28.9%1-34.9%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.7%2-17.8%2-26.4%2-33.5%2-4+2.1%3 3-02.3%3-13.7%3-23.1%3-31.7%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.8%4+-21.5%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 34.6%
Draw 24.8%
Away win 40.6%
Over 2.5 60.5%
Over 3.5 37.3%
BTTS 59.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob59.7%

A 41% / xG 1.4-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%
#2 1–2 8.9%
#3 2–1 7.8%
#4 2–2 6.4%
#5 0–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Peamount W1.4
Shelbourne W1.7

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PEAMOUNT W · PPG 1.67

SHELBOURNE W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Peamount W (H) 34.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Shelbourne W (A) 40.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Peamount W face Shelbourne W on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Peamount W a 35% chance, the draw 25% and Shelbourne W 41%, so Shelbourne W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Peamount W and 1.7 for Shelbourne W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Peamount W are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.33 for Shelbourne W. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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