Salisbury vs Horsham Prediction— England - National League - South

England - National League - South South - 45 The Raymond McEnhill Stadium· Salisbury, Wiltshire Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Salisbury PPG 1.55

2-1 MISS

Horsham PPG 1.23

Draw· +3.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Salisbury face Horsham in England - National League - South on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Salisbury a 39% chance, the draw 30% and Horsham 31%, so Salisbury are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Salisbury and 1.0 for Horsham (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Salisbury are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.23 for Horsham. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +3.3%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.2%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -19.6%

Draw 29.5%

Odds: 3.50 EV: +3.3%

Away 31.4%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -2.7%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 36.3% Odds: 1.70 -38.3%

Over 3.5 17.0% Odds: 2.75 -53.3%

BTTS 43.1% Odds: 1.57 -32.3%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Salisbury

1.15

Horsham

1.00

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 67%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 26.0%

Bet Hit 73% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.55) > Away AVERAGE (1.23)