Today / MTK Hungaria W vs Gyori ETO W

MTK Hungaria W vs Gyori ETO W Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

MTK Hungaria W
PPG 2.27 · HOME
0 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Gyori ETO W
PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-16.0%0-24.2%0-32.0%0-4+1.0%1 1-07.4%1-110.4%1-27.4%1-33.5%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.5%2-19.2%2-26.5%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.8%3-15.4%3-23.8%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.5%4+-22.5%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 48.4%
Draw 25.2%
Away win 26.4%
Over 2.5 61.4%
Over 3.5 39.0%
BTTS 59.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-3
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.7%

H 48% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%
#2 2–1 9.2%
#3 1–2 7.4%
#4 2–0 6.5%
#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

MTK Hungaria W1.8
Gyori ETO W1.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 39.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MTK HUNGARIA W · PPG 2.27

GYORI ETO W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.27), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

MTK Hungaria W (H) 48.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Gyori ETO W (A) 26.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

MTK Hungaria W face Gyori ETO W on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MTK Hungaria W a 48% chance, the draw 25% and Gyori ETO W 26%, so MTK Hungaria W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for MTK Hungaria W and 1.4 for Gyori ETO W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MTK Hungaria W are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 2.00 for Gyori ETO W. This match finished 0-3.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org