Today / TB Tvoroyri vs Hoyvik

TB Tvoroyri vs Hoyvik Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

TB Tvoroyri

PPG 1.33 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O3.5

Hoyvik

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 6.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.5%0-20.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-00.8%1-11.9%1-22.1%1-31.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-01.7%2-13.7%2-24.1%2-33.1%2-4+2.9%3 3-02.1%3-14.8%3-25.4%3-34.0%3-4+3.8%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-113.0%4+-214.5%4+-310.8%4+-4+10.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.6% — — —

Draw 20.0% — — —

Away win 21.4% — — —

Over 2.5 79.0% — — —

Over 3.5 86.0% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)3.9 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob66.7%

H 59% / xG 3.9-2.2 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–2 5.4%

#2 4–2 5.2%

#3 3–1✓ 4.8%

#4 4–1 4.7%

#5 2–2 4.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TB Tvoroyri3.9

Hoyvik2.2

COMBINED 6.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 86.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TB TVOROYRI · PPG 1.33

HOYVIK · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

TB Tvoroyri (H) 58.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hoyvik (A) 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

TB Tvoroyri face Hoyvik on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TB Tvoroyri a 59% chance, the draw 20% and Hoyvik 21%, so TB Tvoroyri are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.9 for TB Tvoroyri and 2.2 for Hoyvik (6.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-2. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TB Tvoroyri are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.80 for Hoyvik. This match finished 3-1.

TB Tvoroyri vs Hoyvik Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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