Maidstone Utd vs Worthing Prediction— England - National League - South

England - National League - South South - 45 Gallagher Stadium· Maidstone Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Maidstone Utd PPG 1.95

2-1 HIT CS2

Worthing PPG 1.45

Home· +25.7% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Maidstone Utd face Worthing in England - National League - South on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Maidstone Utd a 45% chance, the draw 24% and Worthing 32%, so Maidstone Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Maidstone Utd and 1.4 for Worthing (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Maidstone Utd are averaging 1.95 points per game versus 1.45 for Worthing. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +25.7%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.9%

Odds: 2.80 EV: +25.7%

Draw 23.6%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -18.6%

Away 31.5%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -30.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.8% Odds: 1.62 -3.1%

Over 3.5 37.5% Odds: 2.55 -4.4%

BTTS 61.5% Odds: 1.50 -7.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Maidstone Utd

1.70

Worthing

1.39

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+25.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.95) > Away AVERAGE (1.45)