Maidenhead Utd PPG 1.91
Dover Athletic PPG 1.14Maidenhead Utd face Dover Athletic in England - National League - South on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Maidenhead Utd a 71% chance, the draw 18% and Dover Athletic 11%, so Maidenhead Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Maidenhead Utd and 0.8 for Dover Athletic (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Maidenhead Utd are averaging 1.91 points per game versus 1.14 for Dover Athletic. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +55.4%. This match finished 1-0.
Based on 27 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.91) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)