Today / Treaty Utd W vs Wexford Y. W

Treaty Utd W vs Wexford Y. W Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Treaty Utd W
PPG 1.33 · HOME
0 – 3
FULL TIME
Wexford Y. W
PPG 0.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.3%0-113.1%0-25.0%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.2%1-113.1%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.6%2-16.5%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.8%3-12.2%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 40.0%
Draw 34.6%
Away win 25.3%
Over 2.5 35.0%
Over 3.5 10.2%
BTTS 46.2%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-3
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.2%

H 40% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.3%
#2 1–0 17.2%
#3 1–1 13.1%
#4 0–1 13.1%
#5 2–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Treaty Utd W1.0
Wexford Y. W0.8

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.2%

Form & verdict PPG

TREATY UTD W · PPG 1.33

WEXFORD Y. W · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=40.0%

Win probability 1X2

Treaty Utd W (H) 40.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 34.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Wexford Y. W (A) 25.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Treaty Utd W face Wexford Y. W on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Treaty Utd W a 40% chance, the draw 35% and Wexford Y. W 25%, so Treaty Utd W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Treaty Utd W and 0.8 for Wexford Y. W (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Treaty Utd W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.33 for Wexford Y. W. This match finished 0-3.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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