Today / Shamrock R. W vs DLR Waves W

Shamrock R. W vs DLR Waves W Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Shamrock R. W
PPG 1.33 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
DLR Waves W
PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=62.3%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-15.1%0-21.2%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-019.4%1-18.9%1-22.0%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.8%2-17.7%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-09.7%3-14.4%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-06.2%4+-12.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 62.3%
Draw 23.9%
Away win 13.8%
Over 2.5 46.2%
Over 3.5 17.8%
BTTS 46.2%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob46.2%

H 62% / xG 1.7-0.5 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 19.4%
#2 2–0 16.8%
#3 0–0 11.2%
#4 1–1 8.9%
#5 3–0 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shamrock R. W1.7
DLR Waves W0.5

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SHAMROCK R. W · PPG 1.33

DLR WAVES W · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=62.3%

Win probability 1X2

Shamrock R. W (H) 62.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
DLR Waves W (A) 13.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shamrock R. W face DLR Waves W on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shamrock R. W a 62% chance, the draw 24% and DLR Waves W 14%, so Shamrock R. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Shamrock R. W and 0.5 for DLR Waves W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shamrock R. W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.33 for DLR Waves W. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

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