Today / Bohemians W vs Waterford W

Bohemians W vs Waterford W Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Bohemians W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Waterford W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.7 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-16.3%0-23.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.7%1-111.1%1-25.3%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.3%2-19.8%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.1%3-15.8%3-22.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-13.8%4+-21.8%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.0% — — —

Draw 25.2% — — —

Away win 22.8% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 52.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.0%

H 52% / xG 1.8-0.9 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–0 10.3%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bohemians W1.8

Waterford W0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BOHEMIANS W · PPG 1.00

WATERFORD W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Bohemians W (H) 52.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Waterford W (A) 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bohemians W face Waterford W on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bohemians W a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Waterford W 23%, so Bohemians W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Bohemians W and 0.9 for Waterford W (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bohemians W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Waterford W. This match finished 1-2.

Bohemians W vs Waterford W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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