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Finland - Veikkausliiga logo Finland flag Finland - Veikkausliiga Regular Season - 8 Vare Areena· Kuopio Saturday, May 23, 2026 14:00
KuPS logo KuPS PPG 2.20
2-1 MISS
Lahti logo Lahti PPG 1.00
Away· +13.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.7%
Odds: 1.53 EV: -22.4%
Draw 28.2%
Odds: 3.75 EV: +3.5%
Away 21.1%
Odds: 5.80 EV: +13.4%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 1.80 -37.0%
Over 3.5 11.8% Odds: 3.00 -38.8%
BTTS 46.2% Odds: 1.80 -16.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

KuPS
1.27
Lahti
0.58

Model Suggestion

Home -22.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -22.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+13.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=50.7%

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