Finland - VeikkausliigaRegular Season - 8Vare Areena· KuopioSaturday, May 23, 202614:00
KuPSPPG 2.20
2-1MISS
LahtiPPG 1.00
Away· +13.4%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home50.7%
Odds: 1.53EV: -22.4%
Draw28.2%
Odds: 3.75EV: +3.5%
Away21.1%
Odds: 5.80EV: +13.4%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.535.0%Odds: 1.80-37.0%
Over 3.511.8%Odds: 3.00-38.8%
BTTS46.2%Odds: 1.80-16.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st1-0✘
2nd0-0✘
3rd1-1✘
4th2-0✘
5th0-1✘
Expected Goals (xG)
KuPS
1.27
Lahti
0.58
Model Suggestion
Home-22.4%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -22.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+13.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=50.7%