Ilves vs Gnistan Prediction & Tips

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Finland - Veikkausliiga Regular Season - 8 Tammelan Stadion· Tampere Saturday, May 23, 2026 14:00

Ilves PPG 1.00

2-0 MISS

Gnistan PPG 0.67

Away· +26.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.0%

Odds: 1.98 EV: -28.7%

Draw 25.8%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -5.1%

Away 38.2%

Odds: 3.30 EV: +26.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.67 -1.3%

Over 3.5 32.8% Odds: 2.65 -13.1%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.55 -7.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ilves

1.35

Gnistan

1.54

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+26.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.67)