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Enfield Town vs Slough Town Prediction— England - National League - South

South - 45 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Enfield Town

PPG 1.14 · HOME

5 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Slough Town

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.2% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-14.9%0-23.8%0-32.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-06.0%1-19.3%1-27.3%1-33.8%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.7%2-18.8%2-26.9%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.6%3-15.6%3-24.4%3-32.3%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-14.1%4+-23.2%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.9% 42.0% 2.38 +9.2%

Draw 22.1% 28.6% 3.50 -22.7%

Away win 32.0% 39.2% 2.55 -18.4%

Over 2.5 67.2% 65.4% 1.53 +2.8%

Over 3.5 45.5% 42.6% 2.35 +6.9%

BTTS 67.2% 70.4% 1.42 -4.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob67.2%

H 46% / xG 1.9-1.6 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 1–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Enfield Town1.9

Slough Town1.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ENFIELD TOWN · PPG 1.14

SLOUGH TOWN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Enfield Town (H) 45.9%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV +9.2%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -22.7%

Slough Town (A) 32.0%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -18.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Enfield Town face Slough Town in England - National League - South on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Enfield Town a 46% chance, the draw 22% and Slough Town 32%, so Enfield Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Enfield Town and 1.6 for Slough Town (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Enfield Town are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.00 for Slough Town. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +9.2%. This match finished 5-2.

Enfield Town vs Slough Town Prediction— England - National League - South

Match Preview & Prediction

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