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Ebbsfleet Utd vs Hampton e R. Prediction— England - National League - South

England - National League - South logo England flag England - National League - South South - 45 Stonebridge Road Stadium· Northfleet Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00
Ebbsfleet Utd logo Ebbsfleet Utd PPG 2.05
4-0 MISS
Hampton e R. logo Hampton e R. PPG 1.09
Away· +24.1% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ebbsfleet Utd face Hampton e R. in England - National League - South on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ebbsfleet Utd a 69% chance, the draw 18% and Hampton e R. 13%, so Ebbsfleet Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Ebbsfleet Utd and 0.9 for Hampton e R. (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ebbsfleet Utd are averaging 2.05 points per game versus 1.09 for Hampton e R.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +24.1%. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 68.7%
Odds: 1.28 EV: -12.1%
Draw 18.0%
Odds: 4.60 EV: -17.2%
Away 13.2%
Odds: 9.40 EV: +24.1%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.1% Odds: 1.57 -2.5%
Over 3.5 39.9% Odds: 2.45 -2.2%
BTTS 53.6% Odds: 1.70 -8.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Ebbsfleet Utd
2.30
Hampton e R.
0.91

Model Suggestion

Home -12.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -12.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+24.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 67%
Score Hit 37%
ROI 26.0%
Bet Hit 73% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.05), Away AVERAGE (1.09) - Strong consensus

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