Today / AFC vs HHC Hardenberg

AFC vs HHC Hardenberg Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

AFC
PPG 1.56 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
HHC Hardenberg
PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-18.7%0-26.7%0-33.4%0-4+1.9%1 1-07.6%1-111.6%1-28.9%1-34.6%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.0%2-17.7%2-25.9%2-33.0%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.2%3-13.4%3-22.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.5%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 35.4%
Draw 25.4%
Away win 39.2%
Over 2.5 56.4%
Over 3.5 32.3%
BTTS 59.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.7%

A 39% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%
#2 1–2 8.9%
#3 2–1 7.7%
#4 0–0 5.7%
#5 0–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

AFC1.3
HHC Hardenberg1.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

AFC · PPG 1.56

HHC HARDENBERG · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

AFC (H) 35.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
HHC Hardenberg (A) 39.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

AFC face HHC Hardenberg on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AFC a 35% chance, the draw 25% and HHC Hardenberg 39%, so HHC Hardenberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for AFC and 1.5 for HHC Hardenberg (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AFC are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.38 for HHC Hardenberg.

PredictVantage

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