Today / Ferencvaros W vs Puskas A. W

Ferencvaros W vs Puskas A. W Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Ferencvaros W
PPG 2.73 · HOME
2 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Puskas A. W
PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-13.9%0-23.5%0-32.1%0-4+1.4%1 1-04.5%1-18.0%1-27.1%1-34.2%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.6%2-18.1%2-27.2%2-34.3%2-4+2.8%3 3-03.1%3-15.5%3-24.9%3-32.9%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-14.5%4+-24.0%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 44.2%
Draw 23.1%
Away win 32.7%
Over 2.5 63.9%
Over 3.5 53.0%
BTTS 63.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-0
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.0%

H 44% / xG 2.0-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.0%
#2 2–1 8.1%
#3 2–2 7.2%
#4 1–2 7.1%
#5 3–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ferencvaros W2.0
Puskas A. W1.8

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 53.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FERENCVAROS W · PPG 2.73

PUSKAS A. W · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.73), Away EXCELLENT (2.50)

Win probability 1X2

Ferencvaros W (H) 44.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Puskas A. W (A) 32.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ferencvaros W face Puskas A. W on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ferencvaros W a 44% chance, the draw 23% and Puskas A. W 33%, so Ferencvaros W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Ferencvaros W and 1.8 for Puskas A. W (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ferencvaros W are averaging 2.73 points per game versus 2.50 for Puskas A. W. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

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