Today / HB T. B vs IF Fuglafjordur
HB T. B vs IF Fuglafjordur Prediction
Saturday, May 23, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 42% / xG 1.9-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 48.7%
Form & verdict
HB T. B · PPG 0.50
IF FUGLAFJORDUR · PPG 1.17
Caution: Away form (1.17) strong but model favors Home (P=42.2%)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
HB T. B face IF Fuglafjordur on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HB T. B a 42% chance, the draw 23% and IF Fuglafjordur 35%, so HB T. B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for HB T. B and 1.7 for IF Fuglafjordur (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HB T. B are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.17 for IF Fuglafjordur. This match finished 1-1.