Today / England - National League - South / Eastbourne vs AFC Totton

Eastbourne vs AFC Totton Prediction— England - National League - South

South - 45 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Eastbourne

PPG 0.73 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

AFC Totton

PPG 0.77 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 65.5% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-15.2%0-23.8%0-31.9%0-4+1.0%1 1-06.5%1-19.7%1-27.2%1-33.6%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.1%2-19.1%2-26.7%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.8%3-15.7%3-24.2%3-32.1%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-14.1%4+-23.0%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.8% 47.6% 2.10 -1.7%

Draw 22.4% 27.8% 3.60 -19.4%

Away win 30.8% 34.7% 2.88 -11.3%

Over 2.5 65.2% 64.5% 1.55 +1.1%

Over 3.5 43.3% 42.0% 2.38 +3.0%

BTTS 65.5% 69.0% 1.45 -5.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob65.5%

H 47% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 1–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eastbourne1.9

AFC Totton1.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.3%

Form & verdict PPG

EASTBOURNE · PPG 0.73

AFC TOTTON · PPG 0.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.73), Away POOR (0.77)

Win probability 1X2

Eastbourne (H) 46.8%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -1.7%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -19.4%

AFC Totton (A) 30.8%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -11.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eastbourne face AFC Totton in England - National League - South on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eastbourne a 47% chance, the draw 22% and AFC Totton 31%, so Eastbourne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Eastbourne and 1.5 for AFC Totton (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eastbourne are averaging 0.73 points per game versus 0.77 for AFC Totton. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +3.0%. This match finished 2-3.

Eastbourne vs AFC Totton Prediction— England - National League - South

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - National League - South Predictions