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Dorking vs Bath City Prediction— England - National League - South

England - National League - South logo England flag England - National League - South South - 45 Meadowbank· Dorking Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00
Dorking logo Dorking PPG 2.45
1-3 MISS
Bath City logo Bath City PPG 0.68
Over3.5· +8.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Dorking face Bath City in England - National League - South on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dorking a 79% chance, the draw 13% and Bath City 8%, so Dorking are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Dorking and 0.8 for Bath City (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dorking are averaging 2.45 points per game versus 0.68 for Bath City. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.7%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 79.2%
Odds: 1.20 EV: -5.0%
Draw 13.0%
Odds: 5.40 EV: -29.8%
Away 7.8%
Odds: 12.00 EV: -6.4%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 70.5% Odds: 1.50 +5.8%
Over 3.5 49.4% Odds: 2.20 +8.7%
BTTS 52.0% Odds: 1.95 +1.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 2-1
4th 3-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Dorking
2.84
Bath City
0.81

Model Suggestion

Home -5.0% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-5.0%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.45), Away POOR (0.68) - Strong consensus

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org