Today / Hanauer SC vs Hunfelder SV

Hanauer SC vs Hunfelder SV Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Hanauer SC
PPG 1.39 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Hunfelder SV
PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-14.4%0-25.1%0-33.9%0-4+3.8%1 1-03.2%1-17.4%1-28.4%1-36.4%1-4+6.2%2 2-02.7%2-16.1%2-27.0%2-35.3%2-4+5.2%3 3-01.5%3-13.4%3-23.8%3-32.9%3-4+2.9%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.0%4+-22.3%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 30.4%
Draw 23.8%
Away win 45.8%
Over 2.5 63.9%
Over 3.5 55.5%
BTTS 63.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob63.0%

A 46% / xG 1.7-2.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.4%
#2 1–2 8.4%
#3 2–2 7.0%
#4 1–3 6.4%
#5 2–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hanauer SC1.7
Hunfelder SV2.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 55.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HANAUER SC · PPG 1.39

HUNFELDER SV · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.39) vs Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Hanauer SC (H) 30.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Hunfelder SV (A) 45.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hanauer SC face Hunfelder SV on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hanauer SC a 30% chance, the draw 24% and Hunfelder SV 46%, so Hunfelder SV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Hanauer SC and 2.3 for Hunfelder SV (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hanauer SC are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 1.75 for Hunfelder SV. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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