Dagenham e R. vs Weston-s.-Mare Prediction— England - National League - South

England - National League - South South - 45 Victoria Road· London Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Dagenham e R. PPG 1.68

0-0 HIT CS5

Weston-s.-Mare PPG 1.32

Home· +52.6% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Dagenham e R. face Weston-s.-Mare in England - National League - South on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dagenham e R. a 43% chance, the draw 26% and Weston-s.-Mare 31%, so Dagenham e R. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dagenham e R. and 1.1 for Weston-s.-Mare (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dagenham e R. are averaging 1.68 points per game versus 1.32 for Weston-s.-Mare. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +52.6%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.0%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +52.6%

Draw 26.4%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -12.9%

Away 30.6%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -40.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.9% Odds: 1.90 -10.9%

Over 3.5 25.3% Odds: 3.25 -17.8%

BTTS 51.4% Odds: 1.70 -12.6%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Dagenham e R.

1.41

Weston-s.-Mare

1.14

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+52.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 67%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 26.0%

Bet Hit 73% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.68) > Away AVERAGE (1.32)