Chippenham vs Hornchurch Prediction— England - National League - South

England - National League - South South - 45 Hardenhuish Park· Chippenham, Wiltshire Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Chippenham PPG 1.59

1-3 MISS

Hornchurch PPG 1.59

Home· +37.3% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Chippenham face Hornchurch in England - National League - South on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chippenham a 33% chance, the draw 22% and Hornchurch 45%, so Hornchurch are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Chippenham and 1.9 for Hornchurch (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chippenham are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.59 for Hornchurch. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +37.3%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.7%

Odds: 4.20 EV: +37.3%

Draw 22.3%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -19.7%

Away 44.9%

Odds: 1.70 EV: -23.7%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.4% Odds: 1.70 +12.9%

Over 3.5 44.6% Odds: 2.70 +20.4%

BTTS 66.7% Odds: 1.62 +8.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Chippenham

1.56

Hornchurch

1.86

Model SuggestionBTTS +8.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Home(+37.3%)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.59), Away GOOD (1.59)