Today / RBC vs UDI 19

RBC vs UDI 19 Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

RBC

PPG 2.06 · HOME

4 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

UDI 19

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.3%0-21.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-04.1%1-16.1%1-24.6%1-32.3%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.5%2-18.2%2-26.2%2-33.1%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.9%3-17.3%3-25.5%3-32.8%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-06.2%4+-19.4%4+-27.1%4+-33.6%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.7% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 24.8% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 60.2% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-3

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.0%

H 53% / xG 2.7-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.2%

#2 3–1 7.3%

#3 1–1 6.1%

#4 2–2 6.2%

#5 3–2 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RBC2.7

UDI 191.5

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 60.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RBC · PPG 2.06

UDI 19 · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.06) > Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

RBC (H) 52.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

UDI 19 (A) 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

RBC face UDI 19 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RBC a 53% chance, the draw 23% and UDI 19 25%, so RBC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for RBC and 1.5 for UDI 19 (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RBC are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 1.31 for UDI 19. This match finished 4-3.

RBC vs UDI 19 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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