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Mjondalen vs Sandviken Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 12:00

Mjondalen

PPG 3.00 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Sandviken

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=52.4%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-16.9%0-22.8%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.2%1-111.4%1-24.6%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.7%2-19.4%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.4%3-15.2%3-22.1%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-13.1%4+-21.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% — — —

Draw 25.8% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 47.6% — — —

Over 3.5 23.3% — — —

BTTS 50.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 32%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -22.9%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob50.2%

H 52% / xG 1.6-0.8 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–0 14.2%

#3 2–0 11.7%

#4 0–0 8.6%

#5 2–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mjondalen1.6

Sandviken0.8

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.3%

Form & verdict PPG

MJONDALEN · PPG 3.00

SANDVIKEN · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=52.4%

Win probability 1X2

Mjondalen (H) 52.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sandviken (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mjondalen face Sandviken in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mjondalen a 52% chance, the draw 26% and Sandviken 22%, so Mjondalen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Mjondalen and 0.8 for Sandviken (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mjondalen are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Sandviken. This match finished 4-0.

Mjondalen vs Sandviken Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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