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Lithuania - 1 Lyga logo Lithuania flag Lithuania - 1 Lyga Regular Season - 11 Saturday, May 23, 2026 12:00
Atmosfera logo Atmosfera PPG 0.80
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Garliava logo Garliava PPG 1.50
Away· +7.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.0%
Odds: 2.25 EV: -28.0%
Draw 25.9%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -4.1%
Away 42.2%
Odds: 2.55 EV: +7.6%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.62 -14.8%
Over 3.5 28.5% Odds: 2.43 -18.4%
BTTS 54.4% Odds: 1.49 -18.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-0
4th 0-1
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Atmosfera
1.18
Garliava
1.52

Model Suggestion

BTTS -18.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -18.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.80)

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