Predict
Vantage
Today
Top Picks
Accuracy
Leagues
← Back to picks
Lithuania - 1 Lyga
Regular Season - 11
Saturday, May 23, 2026
12:00
Atmosfera
PPG 0.80
1-1
HIT MostLikelyScore
Garliava
PPG 1.50
Away· +7.6%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
32.0%
Odds: 2.25
EV: -28.0%
Draw
25.9%
Odds: 3.60
EV: -4.1%
Away
42.2%
Odds: 2.55
EV: +7.6%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
52.6%
Odds: 1.62
-14.8%
Over 3.5
28.5%
Odds: 2.43
-18.4%
BTTS
54.4%
Odds: 1.49
-18.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✔
2nd
1-2
✘
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
0-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Atmosfera
1.18
Garliava
1.52
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-18.9%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -18.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+7.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.80)