Today / Stadtallendorf vs CSC 03 Kassel

Stadtallendorf vs CSC 03 Kassel Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Stadtallendorf
PPG 1.56 · HOME
3 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
CSC 03 Kassel
PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-13.2%0-22.4%0-31.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-05.1%1-17.5%1-25.6%1-32.8%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.0%2-18.9%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-04.7%3-17.0%3-25.1%3-32.5%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-04.8%4+-17.1%4+-25.3%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 52.4%
Draw 22.9%
Away win 24.7%
Over 2.5 63.9%
Over 3.5 53.3%
BTTS 62.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-2
xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.5%

H 52% / xG 2.4-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.9%
#2 1–1 7.5%
#3 3–1 7.0%
#4 2–2 6.6%
#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stadtallendorf2.4
CSC 03 Kassel1.5

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 53.3%

Form & verdict PPG

STADTALLENDORF · PPG 1.56

CSC 03 KASSEL · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Stadtallendorf (H) 52.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
CSC 03 Kassel (A) 24.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stadtallendorf face CSC 03 Kassel on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stadtallendorf a 52% chance, the draw 23% and CSC 03 Kassel 25%, so Stadtallendorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Stadtallendorf and 1.5 for CSC 03 Kassel (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stadtallendorf are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.38 for CSC 03 Kassel. This match finished 3-2.

PredictVantage

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