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Viggbyholms vs Taby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 9 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 11:00

Viggbyholms

PPG 0.75 · HOME

2 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Taby

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 61.7% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-111.4%0-211.8%0-38.1%0-4+6.8%1 1-04.6%1-19.5%1-29.8%1-36.8%1-4+5.6%2 2-01.9%2-13.9%2-24.1%2-32.8%2-4+2.3%3 3-00.5%3-11.1%3-21.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.3% 25.6% 3.90 -26.5%

Draw 24.0% 26.0% 3.85 -4.6%

Away win 61.7% 58.8% 1.70 +4.9%

Over 2.5 59.1% 67.6% 1.48 -12.5%

Over 3.5 33.1% 45.5% 2.20 -27.2%

BTTS 51.6% 69.0% 1.45 -25.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -22.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob51.6%

A 62% / xG 0.8-2.1 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.8%

#2 1–1 9.5%

#3 0–1 11.4%

#4 1–2 9.8%

#5 0–3 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viggbyholms0.8

Taby2.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VIGGBYHOLMS · PPG 0.75

TABY · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Viggbyholms (H) 14.3%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -26.5%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -4.6%

Taby (A) 61.7%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV +4.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Viggbyholms face Taby in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viggbyholms a 14% chance, the draw 24% and Taby 62%, so Taby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Viggbyholms and 2.1 for Taby (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viggbyholms are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.33 for Taby. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +4.9%. This match finished 2-4.

Viggbyholms vs Taby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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