Today / Inter Turku vs TPS

Inter Turku vs TPS Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Inter Turku

PPG 2.20 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

TPS

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.4%0-110.4%0-23.3%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.2%1-112.2%1-23.9%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.2%2-17.2%2-22.3%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.4%3-12.8%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.1%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.8% — — —

Draw 31.5% — — —

Away win 21.7% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 11.0% — — —

BTTS 46.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.2%

H 47% / xG 1.2-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.4%

#2 1–0 19.2%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 2–0 11.2%

#5 0–1 10.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Turku1.2

TPS0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.0%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER TURKU · PPG 2.20

TPS · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=46.8%

Win probability 1X2

Inter Turku (H) 46.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

TPS (A) 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Turku face TPS on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Turku a 47% chance, the draw 32% and TPS 22%, so Inter Turku are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Inter Turku and 0.6 for TPS (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Turku are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 0.67 for TPS. This match finished 2-1.

Inter Turku vs TPS Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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