Today / Shanghai Jiadin vs Dalian Kuncheng

Shanghai Jiadin vs Dalian Kuncheng Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Shanghai Jiadin

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Dalian Kuncheng

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-18.2%0-26.6%0-33.6%0-4+2.1%1 1-06.9%1-111.2%1-29.0%1-34.9%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.7%2-17.7%2-26.2%2-33.3%2-4+1.9%3 3-02.2%3-13.5%3-22.8%3-31.5%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.6%4+-21.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.6% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 40.6% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 35.0% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob59.7%

A 41% / xG 1.4-1.6 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.2%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 0–0 5.1%

#5 0–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shanghai Jiadin1.4

Dalian Kuncheng1.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 35.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SHANGHAI JIADIN · PPG 1.00

DALIAN KUNCHENG · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Shanghai Jiadin (H) 34.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dalian Kuncheng (A) 40.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shanghai Jiadin face Dalian Kuncheng on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shanghai Jiadin a 35% chance, the draw 25% and Dalian Kuncheng 41%, so Dalian Kuncheng are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Shanghai Jiadin and 1.6 for Dalian Kuncheng (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shanghai Jiadin are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Dalian Kuncheng. This match finished 1-1.

Shanghai Jiadin vs Dalian Kuncheng Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions